Overall Company Progress on Commitments

The Commitment Progress Tracker evaluates how well a company is delivering on its promises by comparing management’s stated commitments from press releases and earnings calls to actual progress updates. This tool categorizes commitments into clear ratings such as “On Track” or “Exceeded Expectations” while flagging potential risks where execution may be falling short.

By highlighting progress and warning signs, the Commitment Progress Tracker provides retail investors with actionable insights to assess a company’s performance. With a sliding 18-month window of data, it serves as a valuable educational resource to support informed investment research.

Cluster: Debt Financing and Security for Expansion

Commitment: October 16, 2025: WULF Compute committed to use net proceeds from the $3.2 billion senior secured notes to finance a portion of the Lake Mariner data center expansion, superseding the October 14, 2025 proposal.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 85%

Analysis: The notes were priced with proceeds earmarked for Lake Mariner expansion; closing is expected on 2025-10-23. This final pricing update supersedes the 2025-10-14 proposal. Completion risk remains until close, but terms are finalized.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-10-16 priced $3.2 billion of senior secured notes with stated use of proceeds for Lake Mariner expansion; closing expected 2025-10-23 (supersedes proposal).
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-10-14 announced the proposed offering with identical use-of-proceeds language, later superseded by pricing.

Commitment: October 16, 2025: The senior secured notes will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed by La Lupa Data LLC, Akela Data Holdings LLC, and Akela Data LLC, superseding the October 14, 2025 proposed terms.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: Guarantee terms were confirmed at pricing and match the 2025-10-14 outline; still subject to closing. The 2025-10-16 update supersedes the proposal.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-10-16 confirms full and unconditional guarantees by the specified subsidiaries; closing pending.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-10-14 described the same guarantors under a proposed offering, superseded by the priced transaction.

Commitment: October 16, 2025: The notes will be secured by first‑priority liens on substantially all assets, equity interests of WULF held by TeraWulf Brookings LLC, a designated Fluidstack USA I Inc. lockbox account, and a pre‑completion Google warrant pledge, superseding the October 14, 2025 security description.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: Collateral package was confirmed at pricing and is consistent with the proposal; effective upon closing. The 2025-10-16 priced terms supersede the 2025-10-14 proposed terms.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-10-16 specifies first‑priority liens and pre‑completion Google warrant pledge; closing expected 2025-10-23.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-10-14 listed the same collateral under a proposed offering, superseded by priced terms.

Commitment: October 16, 2025: TeraWulf committed to provide customary completion guarantees and funding support to ensure timely completion of the Lake Mariner expansion.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: Completion support was affirmed in the priced notes announcement; enforceability begins at closing. No conflicting disclosures.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-10-16 confirms TeraWulf’s completion guarantees for the expansion.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-10-14 outlined the same completion support under the proposed offering.

Commitment: August 22, 2025: TeraWulf completed a $1.0 billion 1.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 offering (including the $150 million greenshoe) and allocated proceeds to capped call costs and data center expansion/general purposes, superseding the August 18, 2025 pricing announcement.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: The transaction closed at $1.0 billion after full greenshoe exercise, exceeding the initial $850 million pricing; proceeds were deployed as stated.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-22 confirms full greenshoe exercise to $1.0 billion and allocation of proceeds.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-18 priced $850 million with a $150 million option, superseded by the 2025-08-22 closing.

Commitment: August 22, 2025: The company entered additional capped call transactions tied to the incremental notes with an initial cap price of $18.76 to mitigate dilution.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Additional capped calls were executed concurrent with the greenshoe closing, mitigating potential dilution as planned.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-22 confirms additional capped call transactions at an $18.76 cap price.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-18 disclosed initial capped calls at the same cap price; the later update extends these to the incremental notes.

Commitment: August 18, 2025: TeraWulf priced $850 million of 1.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 with a 13‑day option for up to $150 million more, which was subsequently upsized and closed on August 22, 2025.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: The offering closed at $1.0 billion after full option exercise, exceeding the priced size; later closing supersedes pricing.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-22 confirms closing at $1.0 billion (supersedes priced amount).
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-18 priced $850 million with an upsizing option.

Commitment: August 18, 2025: The company announced a proposed $400 million Convertible Senior Notes offering with a $60 million option, which was later superseded by the upsized August 18 pricing and the August 22 closing.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: The initial proposal was superseded first by an $850 million pricing and then a $1.0 billion closing, materially exceeding the proposal.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-22 confirms closing at $1.0 billion (supersedes proposal).
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-18 announced a $400 million proposed offering with a $60 million option, superseded later the same day by upsized pricing.

Commitment: October 25, 2024: TeraWulf closed $500 million of 2.75% Convertible Senior Notes and committed net proceeds to capped calls, share repurchases, and data center expansion/general corporate purposes.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: The deal closed at $500 million (upsized from $425 million) with concurrent share repurchases and capped calls executed; use of proceeds aligned with commitments.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2024-10-25 confirms $500 million closing, capped calls, and $115 million share repurchase.
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-10-24 priced $425 million with an upsizing option, superseded by the closing.

Commitment: October 24, 2024: TeraWulf upsized and priced $425 million of 2.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 with planned use of proceeds for capped calls and corporate purposes, superseded by the October 25, 2024 closing.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: Pricing was followed by a next‑day closing at an upsized $500 million; the closing supersedes the priced terms.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2024-10-25 confirms the upsized $500 million closing (supersedes pricing).
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-10-24 documented the $425 million pricing.

Commitment: October 23, 2024: The company announced a proposed $350 million Convertible Senior Notes offering with intentions for capped calls and concurrent share repurchases that were subsequently executed and upsized.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: The proposal led to an upsized pricing and a larger $500 million closing with the stated capped calls and repurchases executed.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2024-10-25 confirms the upsized $500 million closing with capped calls and $115 million repurchase.
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-10-23 announced the $350 million proposed offering, superseded by later upsizing and closing.

Cluster: Hyperscale AI Hosting Expansion with Fluidstack and Google Support

Commitment: August 18, 2025: Fluidstack exercised the CB‑5 lease at Lake Mariner for a new 160 MW liquid‑cooled building with operations expected in H2 2026.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: Lease exercise is complete, adding 160 MW; build‑out targets H2 2026 operations. No contrary updates.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-18 confirms CB‑5 lease exercise and H2 2026 operations timeline.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-14 outlined the initial framework later expanded by CB‑5.

Commitment: August 18, 2025: TeraWulf committed to deliver approximately 360 MW of contracted critical IT load to Fluidstack at Lake Mariner, updating the August 14, 2025 plan for 200+ MW.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 85%

Analysis: Contracted load expanded to ~360 MW with CB‑3/4/5; delivery schedule runs through 2026. This supersedes the 200+ MW commitment from 2025-08-14.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-18 cites ~360 MW contracted load (supersedes 200+ MW).
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-14 detailed over 200 MW via two 10‑year agreements.

Commitment: August 18, 2025: Google agreed to an incremental $1.4 billion project‑related debt backstop (raising the total to ~$3.2 billion) and received 32.5 million warrants for ~14% pro forma equity, superseding the August 14, 2025 $1.8 billion backstop and ~8% stake.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: The increased backstop and warrants were disclosed and align with the collateral package in the 2025-10-16 notes pricing; supersedes the 2025-08-14 terms.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-18 confirms Google’s total backstop of ~$3.2 billion and ~14% pro forma equity via warrants.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-14 indicated a $1.8 billion backstop and ~8% stake, superseded by the later update.

Commitment: August 18, 2025: TeraWulf and Fluidstack committed to pursue additional capacity expansions beyond CB‑5.

🟡 Partially Met | Certainty: 70%

Analysis: Parties reported ongoing discussions for further expansion; no executed agreements beyond CB‑5 disclosed yet.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-18 notes active discussions regarding expansion beyond CB‑5.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-14 set the initial partnership framework that has since expanded to CB‑5.

Commitment: August 14, 2025: TeraWulf committed to deliver over 200 MW of critical IT load through two 10‑year colocation agreements with Fluidstack with ~$3.7 billion contracted revenue and potential extensions to ~$8.7 billion.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: The 200+ MW plan was expanded to ~360 MW on 2025-08-18, with contracted revenue updated to ~$6.7 billion and potential to ~$16 billion; later updates supersede earlier figures.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-18 increased contracted load to ~360 MW and updated contracted revenue (~$6.7 billion), superseding the 200+ MW and ~$3.7 billion figures.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-14 announced the initial 200+ MW agreements with revenue estimates.

Commitment: August 14, 2025: The company planned to access capital markets to fund a portion of the project tied to the Fluidstack agreements.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: Capital markets access was executed via $1.0 billion convertibles (closed 2025-08-22) and $3.2 billion secured notes pricing (2025-10-16), exceeding the initial plan.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-10-16 priced $3.2 billion senior secured notes to fund the expansion.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-22 closed $1.0 billion convertibles, fulfilling the funding plan.

Commitment: August 14, 2025: TeraWulf aimed to accelerate expansion into HPC with expected 85% site NOI margins (~$315 million annually).

🟡 Partially Met | Certainty: 70%

Analysis: Margin targets remain prospective; subsequent disclosures confirm expansion progress but do not yet report realized margins.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-18 confirms major expansion steps (CB‑5, increased contracted load), supporting the margin target trajectory.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-08-14 established the 85% NOI margin expectation (~$315 million annually).

Cluster: Core42 HPC Delivery Timeline and Infrastructure

Commitment: August 14, 2025: TeraWulf is on track to deliver 72.5 MW of HPC colocation capacity under leases with Core42 with revenue recognition in the second half of 2025.

🟡 Partially Met | Certainty: 85%

Analysis: Management guidance points to H2 2025 revenue; this updated schedule supersedes earlier Q2 2025 revenue expectations. No filing yet confirms actual revenue recognition.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-10 guided to recognizing HPC hosting revenue in Q3 2025 and affirmed 72.5 MW delivery in 2025.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-09 anticipated revenue beginning in Q2 2025, superseded by the 2025-08 guidance.

Commitment: August 08, 2025: The company reaffirmed delivery of 72.5 MW of gross HPC hosting infrastructure to Core42 in 2025.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: Reaffirmation aligns with subsequent 2025-08-14 “on track” messaging; no contradictory updates.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-08 states TeraWulf is on schedule and on budget to deliver 72.5 MW in 2025.
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-12-23 outlined phased releases Q1–Q3 2025, later adjusted to H2 revenue timing.

Commitment: May 09, 2025: TeraWulf projected CB‑1 to go live in Q3 2025 and CB‑2 in Q4 2025 with HPC revenues beginning in Q2 2025, updating earlier Q1/Q2 2025 targets.

🟡 Partially Met | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: CB‑1/CB‑2 timing remained within 2H25; revenue start slipped to H2 per August updates. The newer guidance supersedes the Q2 2025 revenue start.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 shifts revenue recognition to H2 2025 (supersedes Q2 start).
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-09 projected CB‑1 Q3 and CB‑2 Q4 2025 and revenue beginning Q2 2025.

Commitment: May 05, 2025: The company committed to deliver 72.5 MW of HPC colocation capacity for Core42 as data halls come online in 2025.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 85%

Analysis: Multiple updates reaffirm 72.5 MW delivery in 2025; revenue timing adjusted to H2.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-08 reaffirmed 72.5 MW delivery in 2025.
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-12-23 described phased delivery through Q3 2025, later timing-adjusted for revenue recognition.

Commitment: January 03, 2025: TeraWulf finalized data center lease agreements totaling over 70 MW with an initial 10‑year term and a revenue opportunity exceeding $1 billion.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Leases executed and repeatedly referenced; no contradictions.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2025-01-03 announced finalized >70 MW leases with >$1 billion revenue opportunity.
  • Later updates through 2025-08 reaffirmed the 72.5 MW delivery against these leases.

Commitment: December 23, 2024: TeraWulf committed to release over 70 MW of turn‑key infrastructure for Core42 in phases between Q1 and Q3 2025.

🟡 Partially Met | Certainty: 80%

Analysis: Phasing remains in 2025, but revenue recognition slid to H2; newer schedules supersede the initial Q1–Q3 phasing intent.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 indicates H2 2025 revenue timing, implying later phasing completion than initially targeted.
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-12-23 set Q1–Q3 2025 phasing.

Commitment: November 20, 2024: The company targeted completion of the 20 MW CB‑1 facility in Q1 2025 and 72.5 MW by end of Q2 2025, which was later updated by 2025 guidance.

❌ Not Met | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: Timelines were pushed to CB‑1 in Q3 and CB‑2 in Q4 2025 per May guidance; later H2 revenue guidance supersedes the original Q1/Q2 targets.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-05-09 revised CB‑1 to Q3 and CB‑2 to Q4 2025, superseding earlier Q1/Q2 targets.
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-11-20 set Q1/Q2 2025 deadlines that were not achieved.

Cluster: Grid, Site, and Capacity Expansion (Lake Mariner and Cayuga)

Commitment: August 14, 2025: TeraWulf secured a long‑term ground lease enabling up to 400 MW of digital infrastructure capacity with 138 MW of predominantly zero‑carbon power expected ready for service in 2026.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: The 80‑year Cayuga lease is executed; 138 MW RFS in 2026 remains forward‑looking without contrary updates.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 confirms the lease terms (up to 400 MW) and 138 MW RFS in 2026.
  • No earlier contradictory evidence found.

Commitment: August 14, 2025: The company outlined Lake Mariner expansion to 500 MW in the near term and potentially 750 MW with targeted transmission upgrades, reaffirming and updating prior guidance.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Interconnection to 500 MW has been secured; plans to 750 MW remain subject to upgrades. This reaffirms May guidance.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-08 states interconnection approval to draw 500 MW is secured, with plans to reach 750 MW.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-05/05-09 communicated the same 500→750 MW plan.

Commitment: August 08, 2025: TeraWulf sought interconnection approval to draw 500 MW from the grid with plans to increase to 750 MW.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: Interconnection approval to draw 500 MW was reported as secured by 2025-08-08, exceeding the “sought” status.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-08 confirms 500 MW interconnection approval secured (beyond “sought”).
  • Earlier planning updates in May 2025 outlined the same capacity targets.

Commitment: May 09, 2025: The company requested additional NYISO capacity approvals to increase total power at Lake Mariner to 750 MW.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: Subsequent 2025-08-08 update confirms 500 MW approval; 750 MW remains in process pending upgrades.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-08 confirms 500 MW approval and intent to reach 750 MW.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-09 noted the NYISO request for increased capacity.

Commitment: May 05, 2025: TeraWulf planned to expand Lake Mariner capacity to 500 MW in the near term and potentially 750 MW with transmission upgrades.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: 500 MW interconnection secured validates near‑term goal; 750 MW remains contingent on upgrades.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-08 confirms 500 MW approval.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-05/05-09 laid out the 500/750 MW roadmap.

Commitment: February 28, 2025: TeraWulf prioritized integrating the Cayuga site to add 150 MW by 2026, scalable to 400 MW by 2028.

🟡 Partially Met | Certainty: 85%

Analysis: Later disclosure sets 138 MW RFS in 2026 (slightly below 150 MW) and up to 400 MW total; the updated figures supersede the earlier 150 MW estimate.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 states 138 MW RFS in 2026 and scalability to 400 MW, superseding the 150 MW figure.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-02-28 targeted 150 MW by 2026.

Commitment: November 14, 2024: The company executed a new 35‑year ground lease at Lake Mariner to expand acreage for cryptocurrency mining and HPC data center operations.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Lease execution confirmed; no changes reported.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2024-11-14 confirms the new ground lease to expand Lake Mariner.

Commitment: November 12, 2024: TeraWulf secured a long‑term ground lease granting exclusive rights to 750 MW of infrastructure capacity at Lake Mariner.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: The long‑term lease at Lake Mariner supporting 750 MW was disclosed and referenced in subsequent filings.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2024-11-12/11-22 reports the long‑term lease underpinning Lake Mariner expansion to 750 MW potential.

Cluster: Sustainability and Energy Management

Commitment: August 14, 2025: TeraWulf expanded participation in New York demand response programs generating $3.1 million in Q2 2025 and $5.9 million for the first half of 2025.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 80%

Analysis: Reported program proceeds quantify expansion; no contradictory updates. Single disclosure basis lowers certainty slightly.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 reports $3.1 million (Q2) and $5.9 million (H1) from demand response participation.
  • Earlier intent from 2025-05-05 to expand demand response was subsequently realized.

Commitment: August 14, 2025: The company reaffirmed its commitment to operate facilities predominantly with zero‑carbon energy sources.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Multiple disclosures consistently emphasize zero‑carbon sourcing; no counter‑evidence.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 reiterates predominantly zero‑carbon operations.
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-11-14 and throughout 2025 filings highlights zero‑carbon sourcing.

Commitment: August 14, 2025: TeraWulf planned an approximately 67 MW solar installation and an 800 MWh battery energy storage system adjacent to its leased area.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 80%

Analysis: Plan disclosed with no subsequent change; execution milestones not yet reported.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 details the planned 67 MW solar and 800 MWh BESS near Cayuga.

Commitment: May 05, 2025: The company committed to source power from New York Zone A’s predominantly zero‑carbon grid as part of its sustainability strategy.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Consistent messaging and operations in Zone A support this commitment.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-05 confirms the Zone A zero‑carbon sourcing strategy.
  • Later 2025 updates reaffirm predominantly zero‑carbon operations.

Commitment: May 05, 2025: TeraWulf aimed to expand participation in demand response programs with expected payments reducing cost of revenue.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: By 2025-08-14, the company reported realized proceeds from demand response, advancing beyond the initial aim.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 quantifies $3.1 million (Q2) and $5.9 million (H1) proceeds, superseding the earlier aim with results.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-05 stated the intent to expand participation.

Commitment: November 14, 2024: The company affirmed sustainable Bitcoin mining using predominantly zero‑carbon energy.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Ongoing disclosures align with predominantly zero‑carbon operations; no contrary data.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2024-11-14 affirmed zero‑carbon mining; later updates maintain this stance.

Cluster: Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

Commitment: May 09, 2025: TeraWulf continued returning capital via its stock repurchase program with $33 million repurchased in 2025 to date.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Repurchase activity was executed and disclosed; consistent with program cadence.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-05-09 reports $33 million repurchased YTD under the program.

Commitment: February 28, 2025: The company executed significant share repurchases exceeding $150 million in late 2024 and early 2025 under its $200 million program.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Execution disclosed; aligns with program authorization and subsequent activity.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-02-28 confirms >$150 million repurchased under the $200 million authorization.

Commitment: October 25, 2024: TeraWulf allocated a portion of convertible notes proceeds to share repurchases as part of its capital strategy.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: $115 million of stock was repurchased concurrently with the notes offering.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2024-10-25 confirms $115 million concurrent repurchases funded alongside the notes.

Commitment: October 24, 2024: The company committed to repurchase approximately $115 million of common stock concurrently with its convertible notes offering.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: Commitment executed the next day as disclosed.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2024-10-25 confirms execution of the ~$115 million repurchase.
  • Earlier evidence from 2024-10-24 announced the intended concurrent repurchase.

Commitment: October 23, 2024: TeraWulf authorized a share repurchase program of up to $200 million through December 31, 2025.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: Program authorized and later utilized; multiple repurchase disclosures confirm execution.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2024-10-23 documents the $200 million authorization.
  • Subsequent 2024–2025 updates show substantial utilization of the program.

Cluster: Corporate Structure and Governance (Beowulf E&D)

Commitment: August 14, 2025: TeraWulf disclosed completion of the Beowulf Electricity & Data acquisition on May 21, 2025 with up to $19.0 million in contingent cash and up to $13.0 million in stock tied to expansion and financing milestones.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Completion and contingent consideration terms were disclosed; aligns with May acquisition details.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-14 reiterates acquisition completion and contingent terms.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-27 outlined the consideration and contingencies.

Commitment: May 27, 2025: The company committed to acquire Beowulf Electricity & Data for approximately $52.4 million to streamline operations and enhance capital access.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Acquisition closed with integration steps completed (services agreement terminated; employees transitioned).

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-05-27 confirms acquisition terms and strategic rationale.
  • Later 2025 updates continue to reference the integrated structure.

Commitment: May 27, 2025: TeraWulf maintained its 2025 cost guidance of $40–$45 million SG&A and $20–$25 million operating expenses following the acquisition.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 80%

Analysis: Guidance was reiterated at acquisition; no later filings in the provided set contradict the ranges.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-05-27 maintained cost guidance post‑acquisition.

Commitment: May 09, 2025: The company pursued full integration of Beowulf Electricity & Data to simplify structure and eliminate related‑party disclosures.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Integration actions (ownership consolidation, services agreement termination, employee transition) were completed.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-05-27 notes termination of the services agreement and full integration.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-09 stated the integration objective, later realized.

Commitment: May 27, 2025: TeraWulf emphasized long‑term growth and value creation through enhanced transparency and governance post‑acquisition.

🟡 Partially Met | Certainty: 75%

Analysis: Structural simplification and disclosures improved transparency; quantitative value realization remains prospective.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-05-27 communicated governance and transparency benefits tied to value creation goals.

Cluster: Self‑Mining Operations and Infrastructure Optimization

Commitment: May 09, 2025: TeraWulf committed to optimize its self‑mining platform following energization of Miner Building 5 to enhance efficiency and Bitcoin production.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 90%

Analysis: MB‑5 was energized; hashrate and capacity increased, with miner refresh and infrastructure upgrades supporting ongoing optimization.

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-08-08 reports BTC mining capacity up 45.5% YoY to 12.8 EH/s.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-05-09 confirms MB‑5 energization and optimization focus.

Commitment: January 03, 2025: The company proceeded with construction of Miner Building 5 (50 MW) targeting mid‑Q1 2025 completion to reach 195 MW mining capacity and ~9.7 EH/s.

🌟 Exceeded Expectations | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: MB‑5 was energized, and by mid‑2025 total capacity/throughput exceeded the original targets (245 MW operational, 12.2–12.8 EH/s).

Progress:

  • A recent update from 2025-05-09 confirms MB‑5 energization and 12.2 EH/s.
  • A recent update from 2025-08-08 reports 12.8 EH/s, exceeding the ~9.7 EH/s target.
  • Earlier evidence from 2025-01-03 set the 195 MW/~9.7 EH/s target.

Commitment: November 20, 2024: TeraWulf completed significant electrical infrastructure upgrades at Lake Mariner to improve power reliability for future HPC loads.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 100%

Analysis: Completion of upgrades was disclosed with specifics on reliability improvements.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2024-12-03 confirms completion of significant electrical infrastructure upgrades in November.

Commitment: November 14, 2024: The company retained a right to purchase up to 30,000 miners under a Bitmain call option with a December 31, 2024 deadline.

🟡 Partially Met | Certainty: 60%

Analysis: The option right existed through year‑end 2024; no subsequent evidence indicates exercise before expiry. Status of utilization remains unconfirmed.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2024-11-14 notes the Bitmain call option through 2024-12-31.
  • No later updates confirm exercise; presumed expired without action unless new data emerges.

Commitment: November 04, 2024: TeraWulf accelerated its miner refresh program by replacing legacy miners with S19 XP models as part of a year‑end recovery plan.

✅ On Track | Certainty: 95%

Analysis: Multiple monthly updates confirm refresh execution and efficiency improvements.

Progress:

  • Earlier evidence from 2024-11-04 launched the accelerated refresh.
  • A recent update from 2024-12-03/11-20 confirms large‑scale replacements (e.g., ~7,400 S21 Pro units noted; XP refresh ongoing) and improved efficiency.